Reviewing the TYNDP scenarios


What are the TYNDPs?

The electricity and gas TYNDPs – the Ten-Year Network Development Plans – are the only pan-European assessments of energy infrastructure projects. The plans are completed every second year by the two main European bodies for energy infrastructure, the European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity (ENTSO-E) and for Gas (ENTSOG). It encompasses:

The TYNDPs assess infrastructure projects in a range of possible futures, or scenarios. The scenarios are common for the electricity and gas TYNDP and rely on a number of assumptions about the future (e.g. how many electric vehicles in 2030? What will be the share of wind in electricity generation in 2040?).

Why are the TYNDPs and scenarios so important?

The TYNDPs have a strong guiding function for decisions about future grid infrastructure investments and serve as a benchmark for candidate projects for the status of Project of Common Interest (PCI) which are identified by a European Commission-led process. Projects with the PCI label are entitled to financial support from the EU’s Connecting Europe Facility (CEF). Only a project which is part of the TYNDPs can become a PCI. From the perspective of project developers, national authorities and politicians, the inclusion of a project in the TYNDPs serves as confirmation that a project has European relevance.

The scenarios are often used as a starting point for other modelling exercises, by the ENTSOs and by other institutions. Scenarios therefore have a strong influence in describing and planning for the future energy sector.

What is the special interest of NGOs in the TYNDP?

Many environmental NGOs believe that the ENTSOs’ scenarios should plan for a 100% renewable energy supply and be aligned with the 1.5°C target of the Paris Agreement. From this perspective it is important that the lack of energy infrastructure does not become a bottleneck for the quick growth of renewable energy sources. As well as avoiding the development of fossil gas infrastructure which could deepen Europe’s dependency and increase greenhouse gas emissions.

Why is it important to open up the scenario-building process to external stakeholders? And what difference can the PAC project make to the TYNDP process?

Our work on reviewing the TYNDP

Following the joint development and launch of the TYNDP 2020 by ENTSO-E and ENTSOG, an official consultation period was held and ended on Friday 17 January. Here is how the individual Members of the PAC consortium have replied: