The PAC project – “Paris Agreement Compatible Scenarios for Energy Infrastructure”– has been established to develop a future energy scenario for Europe which is compatible with the Paris Agreement. The scenario, under development by civil society, shall guide European energy infrastructure planning and help to ensure that we are planning and building the infrastructure necessary for a future low carbon, renewables-based energy system.
The PAC project is also a capacity building opportunity for stakeholders who wish to expand their knowledge of developing and modelling energy scenarios. PAC will facilitate discussions on pathways to reaching the 1.5target amongst groups who usually do not associate with each other.
The PAC consortium consists of Climate Action Network (CAN) Europe (+160 NGO members across Europe), European Environmental Bureau (EEB) (150 NGO members across Europe), Renewables Grid Initiative (RGI) (12 NGO and 11 Transmission System Operator members) and REN21 (80 members with an international focus from civil society, academia and research, governments, industry and intergovernmental associations).
The project has four main objectives:
1) Review the TYNDP scenarios and assumptions
The PAC project will give sustained input into the development of the TYNDP-scenarios (Ten Year Network Development Plan-scenarios). The TYNDP process guides which energy infrastructure could be needed in Europe and is a joint product of the European Networks of Transmission System Operators for Electricity and Gas (ENTSO-E and ENTSOG). For more information please visit our section on the TYNDP review.
2) Develop a Paris Agreement compatible energy scenario for Europe
The PAC project will create its own Paris compatible energy scenario. It is guided by three goals: a 65% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2030, net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2040 and 100% renewables in Europe by 2040 in all sectors. This will be the first time such a large group of civil society organisations will form a joint vision of a desirable energy future for Europe.
3) Work with energy modellers to share knowledge and improve capacity
Scenarios have to be modelled to inform about infrastructure needs. Existing energy system planning models currently do not appropriately describe the low carbon, renewables-based energy system that is needed. The PAC project provides a space for energy modellers and others to discuss existing and new modelling approaches to better represent the complex interrelations of the future energy system.
4) Raise global awareness about the importance of grids and collaborative scenario development
While the focus of the PAC project is the European grid planning process, the underlying challenges are global. Therefore, this project will also put emphasis on sharing insights and raise awareness of the importance of grids for the energy transition and how to do collaborative scenario development.
This project combines analytical work of the consortium partners, direct engagement with stakeholders and dissemination work. You can learn all about the workshops we organise here, all about our analytical findings on TYNDP scenarios here, all about the development of the PAC scenario here and all about presenting PAC to the public here.
This project is financed by the German Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy up to the end of 2020.